Can Harley-Davidson, Inc (HOG) Future Potential Be Undermined By Current Price Volatility?

Harley-Davidson, Inc (NYSE:HOG) has a beta value of 1.31 and has seen 0.52 million shares traded in the recent trading session. The company, currently valued at $2.92B, closed the recent trade at $23.62 per share which meant it gained $0.89 on the day or 3.94% during that session. The HOG stock price is -69.94% off its 52-week high price of $40.14 and 13.42% above the 52-week low of $20.45. If we look at the company’s 10-day average daily trading volume, we find that it stood at 2.76 million shares traded. The 3-month trading volume is 2.68 million shares.

The consensus among analysts is that Harley-Davidson, Inc (HOG) is Hold stock at the moment, with a recommendation rating of 2.41. 2 analysts rate the stock as a Sell, while 0 rate it as Overweight. 6 out of 13 have rated it as a Hold, with 5 advising it as a Buy. 0 have rated the stock as Underweight. The expected earnings per share for the stock is 0.77.

Harley-Davidson, Inc (NYSE:HOG) trade information

Sporting 3.94% in the green today, the stock has traded in the green over the last five days, with the highest price hit on recent trading when the HOG stock price touched $23.62 or saw a rise of 2.92%. Year-to-date, Harley-Davidson, Inc shares have moved -21.59%, while the 5-day performance has seen it change 9.32%. Over the past 30 days, the shares of Harley-Davidson, Inc (NYSE:HOG) have changed -7.82%. Short interest in the company has seen 13.18 million shares shorted with days to cover at 4.85.

Wall Street analysts have a consensus price target for the stock at $45.5, which means that the shares’ value could jump 48.09% from the levels at last check today.. The projected low price target is $39.0 while the price target rests at a high of $57.0. In that case, then, we find that the latest price level in today’s session is -141.32% off the targeted high while a plunge would see the stock gain -65.11% from the levels at last check today..

Harley-Davidson, Inc (HOG) estimates and forecasts

The company’s shares have lost -34.79% over the past 6 months. Revenue growth from the last financial year stood is estimated to be -2.91%.

10 analysts offering their estimates for the company have set an average revenue estimate of 1.11B for the current quarter. 9 have an estimated revenue figure of 1.18B for the next ending quarter. Year-ago sales stood 1.48B and 1.35B respectively for this quarter and the next, and analysts expect sales will shrink by -24.75% for the current quarter and -2.91% for the next.

If we evaluate the company’s growth over the last 5-year and for the next 5-year period, we find that annual earnings growth was 5.10% over the past 5 years. Earnings growth for 2025 is a modest -11.84% while over the next 5 years, the company’s earnings are expected to increase by 8.28%.

HOG Dividends

Harley-Davidson, Inc is expected to release its next earnings report on 2025-Feb-04 this year, and investors are excited at the prospect of better dividends despite the company’s debt issue. The forward dividend is 0.70 at a share yield of 2.95%. The company’s dividend yield has gone up over the past 12 months, with a 5 Year Average Dividend Yield of 1.97%.

Harley-Davidson, Inc (NYSE:HOG)’s Major holders

Insiders own 0.91% of the company shares, while shares held by institutions stand at 98.16% with a share float percentage of 99.07%. Investors are also buoyed by the number of investors in a company, with Harley-Davidson, Inc having a total of 543.0 institutions that hold shares in the company. The top two institutional holders are VANGUARD GROUP INC with over 13.24 million shares worth more than $443.98 million. As of 2024-06-30, VANGUARD GROUP INC held 9.9222% of shares outstanding.

The other major institutional holder is H PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, LLC, with the holding of over 11.6 million shares as of 2024-06-30. The firm’s total holdings are worth over $389.06 million and represent 8.6949% of shares outstanding.

Also the top two Mutual Funds that are holding company’s shares are Pacer Funds Trust-Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF and iShares Trust-iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF . As of Jan 31, 2025 , the former fund manager holds about 4.40% shares in the company for having 5.44 shares of worth $129.04 million while later fund manager owns 3.74 shares of worth $88.66 million as of Mar 31, 2025 , which makes it owner of about 3.02% of company’s outstanding stock.