Is Geo Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) Stock An Instant Disaster Or An Incredible Opportunity?

In the last trading session, 2.46 million Geo Group, Inc (NYSE:GEO) shares changed hands as the company’s beta touched 0.82. With the company’s per share price at $26.62 changed hands at $1.07 or 4.19% during last session, the market valuation stood at $3.74B. GEO’s last price was a discount, traded about -36.96% off its 52-week high of $36.46. The share price had its 52-week low at $11.75, which suggests the last value was 55.86% up since then. When we look at Geo Group, Inc’s average trading volume, we note the 10-day average is 3.27 million shares, with the 3-month average coming to 2.93 million.

Analysts gave the Geo Group, Inc (GEO) stock a consensus recommendation rating of Buy, calculated at a mean rating of 1.00. If we narrow down to specifics, the data shows that 0 out of 16 analysts rate the stock as a Sell, with a further 0 assigning it an Overweight rating. Of the remaining, 4 recommended GEO as a Hold, 12 felt it is a Buy and 0 rated the stock as Underweight. Geo Group, Inc’s EPS for the current quarter is expected to be 0.19.

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE:GEO) trade information

Instantly GEO was in green as seen at the end of in last trading. With action 10.87%, the performance over the past five days has been green. The company’s shares are showing year-to-date downside of -4.86%, with the 5-day performance at 10.87% in the green. However, in the 30-day time frame, Geo Group, Inc (NYSE:GEO) is -5.67% down. Looking at the short shares, we see there were 9.0 million shares sold at short interest cover period of 3.19 days.

The consensus price target for the stock as assigned by Wall Street analysts is 32, meaning bulls need an upside of 16.81% from its current market value. According to analyst projections, GEO’s forecast low is 32 with 32 as the target high. To hit the forecast high, the stock’s price needs a -20.21% plunge from its current level, while the stock would need to soar -20.21% for it to hit the projected low.

Geo Group, Inc (GEO) estimates and forecasts

Year-over-year growth is forecast to reach 9.86% up from the last financial year.

Consensus estimates given by 5 financial analysts project the company’s revenue in the current quarter to hit an average of 611.81M. 5 analysts are of the opinion that Geo Group, Inc’s revenue for the current quarter will be 635.62M. The company’s revenue for the corresponding quarters a year ago was 605.67M and 607.18M respectively. According to analysts, the company will likely register a growth in its current quarter sales, forecast at 1.01%. The estimates for the next quarter sales put growth at 4.68%.

Looking at the company’s year-on-year earnings, data shows that the past 5-year has an earnings growth rate of -30.73%. The 2025 estimates are for Geo Group, Inc earnings to increase by 57.60%.

GEO Dividends

Geo Group, Inc is expected to release its next quarterly earnings report on 2025-Feb-26. During the past 5 years, the average dividend yield was 11.18 per year.

Geo Group, Inc (NYSE:GEO)’s Major holders

If we look at who the major shareholders are, we find that insiders hold 4.98% of Geo Group, Inc shares while 87.75% of the shares are in the hands of institutional holders. The share float percentage for the stock currently stands at 92.35%. There are 87.75% institutions holding the Geo Group, Inc stock share, with BLACKROCK INC. the top institutional holder. As of 2024-06-30, the company held 16.0454% of the shares, roughly 19.66 million GEO shares worth $282.25 million.

VANGUARD GROUP INC holds the second largest percentage of outstanding shares, with 11.8811% or 14.55 million shares worth $209.0 million as of 2024-06-30.

Among Mutual Funds, the top two as of Jan 31, 2025 were iShares Core S&P Smallcap ETF and Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund . With 8.75 shares estimated at $232.83 million under it, the former controlled 6.23% of total outstanding shares. On the other hand, Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund held about 2.91% of the shares, roughly 4.09 shares worth around $108.87 million.